Rishi Sunak has confided to members of his inner circle that he is fearful of losing his Yorkshire constituency at the general election, the Guardian has been told.
The prime minister, who would be the first sitting leader of the country to lose his seat, told confidants before a Conservative rally on Tuesday that he thought the vote in Richmond and Northallerton was too close to call.
In 2019, he won the seat with a majority of more than 27,000 and 63% of the vote.
…
No incumbent prime minister has ever lost their seat, and only 12 serving cabinet ministers have lost their seats since 1974, according to the Institute for Government.
Polls have varied, with most suggesting Sunak should retain his seat even amid a landslide victory for Labour across the country. Savanta and Electoral Calculus analysis for the Telegraph suggested he could lose it, however.
Conservative activists working in Sunak’s constituency had been particularly alarmed by a drop-off in support among the farming community, some of whom had cited challenges arising from Brexit to their businesses and a failure to control illegal immigration, sources said.
I’ve been trying to think what the highlight of the night would be and it’d be this.
Liz losing hers would be gold too
update July 5th 0700h: oh happy day
I root for the moog to get the boot.
I think the highlight would be if the tories ended up in 3rd place, though that’s perhaps less likely.
If this happens I’m pretty sure my bingo card will be full
Nah. This is like the Lib Dems becoming the Official Opposition. Would be great. Not gonna happen.
It’s more possible, because you can bank on conservatives being racist.
The caller is wrong regarding Sunak’s national allegiance, but not on if conservatives will vote for an ethnic minority.
Yeah, this is just expectation management.
Like anyone in that seat should be. Do the job of the people or fuck off so someone with more character can do it
The last time this happened was in 1906 when Arthur Balfour lost his seat in the Manchester East constituency during the Liberal landslide victory.
Edit: Balfour resigned as PM in December in 1905 in an attempt to force an election. The Liberal Henry Campbell-Bannerman instead managed to form a government and thus was PM at the time of 1906 general election. I had forgotten Balfour resigned. So, yes if Sunak is unseated this will be a political first (for the UK at least).
The sources are anyone who’s paying any fucking attention.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
Rishi Sunak has confided to members of his inner circle that he is fearful of losing his Yorkshire constituency at the general election, the Guardian has been told.
The prime minister, who would be the first sitting leader of the country to lose his seat, told confidants before a Conservative rally on Tuesday that he thought the vote in Richmond and Northallerton was too close to call.
Mel Stride, a close ally of the prime minister, said on Wednesday that Labour was likely to win “the largest majority any party has ever achieved”.
Conservative activists working in Sunak’s constituency had been particularly alarmed by a drop-off in support among the farming community, some of whom had cited challenges arising from Brexit to their businesses and a failure to control illegal immigration, sources said.
Activists fear that low turnout for the Tories, rather than just a swing to Labour or a groundswell for Reform, may prove to be the greatest risk for the prime minister.
In June, speaking on the fringes of the G7 Summit in Italy, he said he would stay on as an MP for the full five years of a new parliament, even if the Tories lost the election.
The original article contains 588 words, the summary contains 201 words. Saved 66%. I’m a bot and I’m open source!
Good bot.
