Same thing that happened every time Bernie tried to run nationwide. Did he take his own advice?

If Kamala were only running in Vermont, she would have won too.

There were more Harris voters in Vermont than Sanders voters. So maybe Bernie should be listening to Kamala.

Don’t flatter yourself. If everyone who voted for a third party had voted for Harris instead, she still would have lost.

Leftists are too small a constituency to put Democrats over the top.

Turnout was at record highs. So the problem wasn’t “activating low propensity voters”.

The problem was that those voters were already activated, and they preferred Trump.

I replied to someone who just said leftists are right and liberals are wrong.

Ask them whether liberals are leftists.

Maybe liberals would take leftists more seriously if leftists could actually win an election.

They can’t even elect one of their own as governor, much less president.

Smells like… victory

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how dumb America is.

Not to mention how dumb the UK, France, Italy, Austria, the Netherlands, Hungary, Finland, Croatia, and the Czech Republic are…

By the way, what country do you live in?

can they do that? I thought federal officials superseded state ones?

Federal law supercedes state law. That doesn’t mean federal officials can go where they want.

IIRC, the issue is that the Voting Rights Act gave DoJ the power to observe elections, but the SCOTUS partially nuked the VRA. So now it’s not clear whether the DoJ still has that power, and the usual suspects are taking advantage of this ambiguity. Possibly hoping to give the SCOTUS a chance to nuke more of the VRA.

I think most people would pay less. But opponents of universal health care would frame the payment as a tax (especially if it depends on income), and this could definitely erode support.

This is not a trivial problem, and I think it’s why Democrats are hesitating to jump on board a supposedly “uncontroversial” policy.

The point is that if Harris wins, then Hakeem Jeffries will likely be House Speaker on January 6

I literally quoted the linked article

Stuff like universal healthcare isn’t even a controversial policy.

Don’t be so certain.

The poll found that Americans initially support “Medicare-for-all,” 56 percent to 42 percent… But if they were told that a government-run system could lead to delays in getting care or higher taxes, support plunged to 26 percent and 37 percent, respectively.

“The issue that will really be fundamental would be the tax issue,” said Robert Blendon, a professor at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health who reviewed the poll. He pointed out that state single-payer efforts in Vermont and Colorado failed because of concerns about the tax increases needed to put them in place.

There doesn’t seem to be much disagreement that a single-payer system would require tax increases, since the government would take over premiums now paid by employers and individuals as it replaces the private health insurance industry.

No, you didn’t see this poll predicting Hillary crushing Iowa.

The Selzer poll is one of the best, it only looks at Iowa, and in 2016 it was one of the few that said Trump was doing much better than everyone expected.

In 2020 it said Biden was doing better than Clinton, but Trump was nevertheless doing better than expected.

In both cases, it was spot on. And this year, it says Trump is doing far worse than everyone thinks.

That said… Go vote!

That’s just not true.

Both houses must vote separately to agree to the objection. Otherwise, the objection fails and the vote or votes are counted.

Right, LV polls often don’t ask where you voted.

But this article is not about a poll. They are looking publicly available PA voting records. They look like this:

• Doe, John: voted in 2024, 2020
• Doe, Jane: voted in 2024

PA isn’t going to cross-reference their database with other states. So there is no good way to tell if Jane Doe is a first time voter or just a recent move. Either way, she is a new voter.

That’s huge because new voters aren’t counted by pollsters as “likely voters”.

Actually, they might be. In this article, a “new voter” is someone who did not vote in 2020 in Pennsylvania.

If they voted elsewhere in 2020 (ie recently moved to PA) then they could be counted as likely voters in polls even though they are “new voters”.

That’s not how it works.

When the EV’s for a state are counted, the House and Senate have one opportunity to object.

If there is an objection, a vote is called. A majority in both houses is necessary to reject those EVs.

If there is not a majority in both houses then the motion fails, the EV’s are accepted, and the VP moves on to the next state.