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Cake day: August 16th, 2023

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  • Nollij@sopuli.xyztoLinux@lemmy.mlThe Mozilla layoffs ... will get worse
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    9 days ago

    I think you’re massively downplaying how much of a hit this will be.

    Let’s say you make $100k/year. Think about the lifestyle it allows. You’ve just been informed that it’s now going part time, and you’ll only be making $15k/year. How far does that get you?

    Now, you’re expecting someone else to pay for that advertising spot, so it won’t be that bad. But who is even eligible? Microsoft’s Bing is the obvious answer, and probably DDG. The rest of the default search engines aren’t even general web searches.

    Do you really think that either of them are going to pay any significant amount to be the default? Especially when most people are going to change it back to Google anyway, since these are automatically people willing to change to a different browser?

    Sure, they might be willing to pay something. But it won’t be anything close to what they had before.














  • It’s a numbers game. There are WAY more Jewish people in the US than there are Arabs (~7.5 vs 3.5 million, according to a quick Google search).

    Strategically, those Jewish voters are also more likely to switch to a Republican vote than the Arabs, regardless. It would take 2 Arabs (or any other Democratic voter) sitting out to counter a single Democratic voter switching to a Republican vote.

    Granted, none of this accounts for voter locations (because only the 7 swing states matter), voter enthusiasm, claims of national security, or (most importantly of all) ethics.





  • 538 is not a reliable source since Nate Silver left. He’s written about why, but that’s not the point here.

    Michigan and Wisconsin are still very much up in the air. Most polls have them within the margin of error. That means they could very easily turn out red, even without anything being wrong with the polling method. The other states are even closer.

    It’s a terrifyingly close election, and even the smallest influence could change the result. What does the weather look like on election day? How did your portfolio do the day before? How long are the lines?

    These could alter the course of history, even if we ignore things like more hurricanes in swing states.

    Harris still has a slight edge, but it’s barely above 50/50. Get out and vote (even in a safe red/blue state), vote the whole ballot, and do whatever you can to get others to vote as well. Ideally, vote early so nothing can interfere at the last minute.