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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • How many people will vote in a county is super predictable. There are only 2 reasons to run out of ballots

    1. Turnout is unusually high (Not likely).
    2. You printed less ballots than you needed (Really likely).

    That’s it, that’s the end of the reasons. You can literally print the same number of ballots for the last similar election and you’d have a good chance of having enough at least for most of the voting with some good early indicators that you need more at the beginning of the election. To run out 2 hours into an election shows you didn’t even print as many ballots as you did for the last major election.

    The math for how many ballots to print is “last similar election * (county growth percentage * last election turnout percentage) * 1.05”. That’s it. That will cover enough ballots for pretty much any election except for an extreme one where turnout is WAY higher than what could be predicted.



  • cogman@lemmy.worldtoLinux@lemmy.mlLinux Directory Structure - FHS
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    13 days ago

    usr does mean user. It was the place for user managed stuff originally. The home directory used to be a sub directory of the usr directory.

    The meaning and purpose of unix directories has very organically evolved. Heck, it’s still evolving. For example, the new .config directory in the home directory.


  • If the Democrats were the minority party to the green party then yes, this is still sound. This is how politics works in FPTP election systems. You may not like it, but it’s not unreasonable. If the purpose of the green party is to get its policies enacted then the best way for that is pushing and endorsing when concessions are made.

    Heck, for a lot of its positions the best thing the green party could do is run for local and state level positions. But they don’t do that, they only run for presidential positions. They waste a ton of time and money getting nothing done. You only hear about the green party once every 4 years which is why they are unserious.

    And I’m not even saying they can’t keep doing their dumb campaigns. However, they work directly against their goals by running in contested states. The green party pulls votes from Democrats which are the most in line party with the green party goals. By running in contested states they help Republicans get elected. Of the green party was more than just a joke or a rat fuck, they’d mainly be running in states like Idaho or California.


  • Yes, but then being unwilling to take any concession is not. The green party could, for example, pull itself off of ballots in key states or elections when the Democrats agree to their policies.

    Running a doomed to fail candidate that only weakens the likelihood of the most left candidates and pulling progressives out of the Democrat party is a bad move.

    Say what your will about RFK, he’s getting political power from Trump by dropping (if Trump wins). What will the green party get? Nothing.

    Dropping and endorsing after concessions is the real way for a minority party to weld power. Running no matter what is just delusion that works counter to any goal you might have.




  • Opinions on what? I can’t think of a single cabinet position i’d want a conservative running. Their motto of decreasing government spending and increasing privatization of the government is antithetical to good government.

    Like even something like the DoJ is a mess because I don’t want a tough on crime Republican in there prosecuting protestors for resisting arrest.

    I really hate Harris’s hard pivot to try and be centrist. I highly doubt there’s a large contingency of Republicans that are willing to vote for a Democrat. There are a bunch of progressive, though, that I think she can lose by trying to define herself as a better Republican.

    She needs to get rid of the delusional idiots that ran the Biden campaign into the ground.



  • I don’t have this much faith. What lost gore the election is the fact that it was a terribly close election that the supreme court could swing one way or another (and they swung it for bush). If this is a close election for trump and there’s 1 or 2 cases that would make him win, I definitely see the supreme court swinging in his favor. This is quite obvious if you look at the recent case that granted him full immunity. The SC is more than willing to bend of over backwards if it furthers rightwing ideals.

    As for what the house/senate can do to swing the case, that loophole was mostly closed after the 2020 election. There’s not the same room that trump was trying to exploit to steal an election from congress. I worry a lot more about election laws in swing states stealing the election for Trump. There were more than a few laws passed in republican controlled swing states that gave republicans more discretion in figuring out “legitimate” votes.