More states joining race to redraw congressional maps
More states joining race to redraw congressional maps
minnesotareformer.com /2025/08/25/repub/more-states-joining-race-to-redraw-congressional-maps/
President Donald Trump’s push to bolster the GOP’s narrow congressional majority in next year’s elections has prompted a rare nationwide mid-decade redistricting battle that has rapidly taken shape over the past weeks.
Indiana GOP lawmakers’ White House visit this week highlights how the race to redraw congressional districts for partisan advantage may soon expand beyond Texas and California — two states that have reached new stages in their dueling redistricting efforts. Missouri could also be on its way to redrawing its map to favor Republicans.
Indiana is 7-2 Republican. Indiana has a very safe Democratic seat in Indianapolis. They can probably pick up one seat here.
Missouri is 6-2. The state is already gerrymandered as well, with very safe Kansas City and St. Louis seats. They can probably dilute Kansas City enough to pick up one seat as well.
Meanwhile, New York is 19-7 Democrat. Colorado is 4-4.
There are 15 states with complete Democratic state control, 11 of which have Republican seats.
Meanwhile, there are 23 Republican-controlled states, but only 12 of those have Democratic seats. In almost every case, those are just one seat because the rest of the state is already gerrymandered as much as possible. I haven't looked through them all, but those seats are probably packed already and therefore safe.
It's theoretically possible for them to pick up some seats from Georgia, Florida, and Ohio, but that would probably leave many of those Republican seats vulnerable with a thin margin.
If Democrats take control of the Minnesota assembly, you could see opportunities there.
Democrats are favored to take control of Virginia, which could have several more opportunities.
I'm saying this is a fight Republicans will likely regret starting.
I hope you're right
Ah, but you’re forgetting that the democrats will do absolutely fuck all while talking vehemently about how they’re trying sooooo hard.
Man I'd love to see them try and fail, especially in those thin margin areas, although I'm pretty sure they're going to also make it's so difficult to vote blue by locating polling stations, adding even more restrictions (but only on Dems), and so on.
Given a non-zero number of reds being pissed off over tarrifs, Epstein, etc., it's certainly possible that it still backfires even with all the cheating, though. Throw in some underdog democrat not even backed by their own party and you might even end up with a weirdly progressive rep--- imagine no boomers (mail in ban), no traditional neolib Dems (no nearby polling station or motivation), and an influx of unemployed, pissed off young people willing to camp out at the polls.... anything could happen.
I've grown weary of having hope, but I'll hold out one more time.