But, and hang with me here, Presidential Elections have a really low R.O.I. Any sensible billionaire knows that the quality investments are in Senators. Once you get one of them elected the chance of them loosing reelection is very low and yet any one of them can put an indefinite hold on any piece legislation and they really have a hold on getting the right kind of people on the courts. Really they should be spending their money more wisely.
/s

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Well for Texas 60’s is darn cold.

Naw just tattoos on their arms. Why mess with the classics.

/s /s just in case some numpty thinks this is a good idea

I don’t know, you make a lot of good points and I do like your plan. I just dislike being wrong on the internet.

So if I sign up to your newsletter will you accept that as my admitting your probably more right then I am?

Seriously thanks I appreciate the posting.

Well I don’t live there and I haven’t been through the south for over 20 years so I’ll take your word on it. But I don’t like to give anywhere I believe in a full ticket run and maybe a serious run at Florida by the top of the ticket can’t win but could help turn some purple districts a bit more blue. And the Presidency is worth much more than the podium unless she’s got the house too.

I don’t disagree but making the republicans spend money in Florida also prevents them from spending elsewhere.

If Trump says that “It’s too late” she should offer to make it earlier in the day. Sundowning is a legitimate concern for the elderly.

Nate left 538 about a year ago. He now publishes his own SubStack for subscription and does a lot of consulting, notably including a hefty contract with Peter Theil the well know billionaire and right wing power broker who pushed JD Vance to be the Vice Presidential candidate for Trump

I agree with your take on the old 538 model, but if you read Nate’s new substack it become pretty clear that he’s been ‘captured’. Almost all of his post seem to fairly anti-Harris in their biases and it feels like all of his writings are really meant for one person, that person being the owner of Polymarket who he has a very large consulting contract. What these biases are doing to the Model I don’t know but the new model at 538 which was built from the ground up by other statisticians consistently trends about 10-20% higher odds for Harris taking the election.

I don’t if the story is true but I heard in the finale day before she made her decision she interviewed both Josh Shapiro and Tim, and when she did Josh want to know what the divisions of responsibilities were going to be and what he would be able to take charge of. And Tim walked in and opened with “So what do you want me to do?” and I think that says everything I need to know about him.

Bawk! Bawk bawk! Bawk!

It was less about the studio meddling and a bit more about the people who were involved weren’t in awe of George. His, at the time, wife was the editor on the first movie and she made a lot of changes in the editing bay to improve what was a bit of a mess they say. And don’t discount the amount of rewrites done on the fly by the cast. Carrie was taking everyone scripts and punching them a lot and she went on to become one of best punch up writers in Hollywood. Even Harrison Ford, a notoriously shy and conflict avoidant guy, was improvising his lines because he knew that Han wouldn’t say “I love you, too” even facing being frozen in Carbonite.

So my take away here is that JD Couchfucker here is saying neither he or Trump are powerful enough to do anything. Is that really the message you want to be sending during your campaign for the highest office in America?

Welp, it was nice knowing y’all. With my Balatro addiction going mobile I hope I remember to eat.

I’d like to say “Hello police I’d like to report a murder” but even though he’s an ex-president, his still a black man. And calling the police even in jest is too dangerous.

Oh god I thought this was like the couch thing, a viral prank or something but no. It’s a real thing trying to make fun of Tim Waltz. God these people are the worst.

Don’t threaten me with a good time, you creepy old shirtball!

He should totally invite Barack & Bill over to the Rose Garden and beat down the White House fax machine, while W wanders around looking for his stapler.

I’m really surprised that nobody’s mentioned The Last of Us yet. It really used the uncommon technique of changing POV to really suck me in to its storyline. Right from the start when Joel’s daughter dies in the tutorial it was a gut punch as I had ‘been’ her just a few minutes ago. But the whole story was so immersive I found by the end I was really engaged with the characters and their stories. Spoilers for the end of The Last of Us if you’ve not played or watched the series. In the last big action piece in the Fireflies Hospital on my first play through I shot both the nurses in cold blood because I was so upset about what was happening. I like to think of myself as a ok person, at least better then the kind of guy who’d do that but in the heat of the moment I was so angry I totally empathise with Joel and his desire to kill everyone threatening Elly.